Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MARA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-16 10.398287 12.017608 13.751297 15.739323 17.949584 20.325131 23.064864
2025-02-23 8.161075 10.240981 12.609465 15.485076 18.859790 22.672198 27.281162
2025-03-02 6.552093 8.836427 11.579703 15.073708 19.359248 24.396765 30.714678
2025-03-09 5.472466 7.873282 10.895119 14.906310 20.013078 26.216557 34.232769
2025-03-16 4.555116 6.970954 10.149325 14.532225 20.303634 27.522501 37.098274
2025-03-23 3.984022 6.444553 9.811261 14.610310 21.114493 29.452664 40.756541
2025-03-30 3.471757 5.928006 9.418381 14.552325 21.699936 31.072905 44.033824
2025-04-06 3.110308 5.582896 9.219938 14.722573 22.568037 33.062148 47.824600
2025-04-13 2.798717 5.272667 9.034112 14.878380 23.397764 35.003450 51.587579
2025-04-20 2.594821 5.107184 9.041812 15.300380 24.601891 37.474658 56.118269
2025-04-27 2.384672 4.904645 8.969235 15.585407 25.605023 39.684135 60.338742
2025-05-04 2.138568 4.609743 8.721571 15.577420 26.163122 41.270581 63.724708
2025-05-11 1.795789 4.101614 8.086666 14.925761 25.731255 41.436637 65.137241
2025-05-18 1.578651 3.796894 7.760940 14.736624 25.977404 42.570829 67.934594
2025-05-25 1.359964 3.458196 7.343600 14.362961 25.907710 43.223547 70.039867
2025-06-01 1.200449 3.216003 7.073215 14.210658 26.167992 44.359911 72.861910
2025-06-08 1.033861 2.933404 6.701032 13.854065 26.073908 44.945552 74.872991
2025-06-15 0.938684 2.793944 6.583777 13.930666 26.680398 46.606915 78.512396
2025-06-22 0.839082 2.628974 6.401214 13.875418 27.059050 47.918564 81.648206
2025-06-29 0.771999 2.531604 6.343103 14.039578 27.806809 49.819753 85.713557
2025-07-06 0.709789 2.436767 6.281015 14.189709 28.531284 51.697419 89.777977
2025-07-13 0.675314 2.408521 6.354277 14.596176 29.708328 54.320304 95.040503
2025-07-20 0.632279 2.350902 6.359672 14.870750 30.661405 56.602861 99.817081